Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2950.412365 3172.786960 3395.831255 3636.010132 3887.010853 4141.269026 4417.982531
2025-08-10 2576.551266 2913.341432 3261.784770 3647.997538 4062.888331 4494.046262 4974.821562
2025-08-17 2309.161457 2714.146527 3143.141320 3628.909478 4161.213146 4724.423719 5363.029276
2025-08-24 2131.989505 2589.427191 3083.630573 3653.107513 4287.154832 4967.583624 5749.150904
2025-08-31 1955.489286 2449.404030 2992.887825 3629.223346 4347.903683 5128.867947 6036.095680
2025-09-07 1853.644849 2384.748287 2978.426721 3682.962872 4488.185330 5372.231985 6408.663786
2025-09-14 1739.406476 2297.587005 2931.210948 3692.972268 4573.489188 5549.580606 6703.720065
2025-09-21 1630.224502 2209.537793 2877.018584 3689.474123 4638.631284 5700.319889 6965.585833
2025-09-28 1494.038728 2081.838832 2769.937487 3618.445454 4620.720047 5752.221509 7111.521807
2025-10-05 1478.236413 2099.070392 2833.682346 3747.438924 4834.680492 6069.543066 7560.745892
2025-10-12 1429.855117 2072.884198 2842.716638 3809.286493 4968.366073 6293.292517 7902.056080
2025-10-19 1360.428836 2016.772737 2812.445366 3821.395740 5041.215512 6444.903314 8158.986769
2025-10-26 1284.553588 1950.511947 2768.681945 3817.025304 5095.303622 6576.440289 8395.657215
2025-11-02 1221.500168 1898.180316 2740.203724 3829.790105 5168.984966 6730.676355 8659.166697
2025-11-09 1148.137053 1828.874767 2687.497066 3810.090280 5201.310612 6834.408516 8862.194001
2025-11-16 1099.557705 1790.298542 2671.966637 3835.069180 5286.784893 7000.524564 9138.397537
2025-11-23 1032.987253 1724.338177 2618.707490 3810.414335 5309.571239 7090.287708 9323.053579
2025-11-30 1003.883447 1708.457137 2629.398426 3865.885418 5430.638459 7297.911367 9648.122883
2025-12-07 958.420384 1667.712394 2605.814688 3876.216350 5494.623674 7435.931677 9889.648645
2025-12-14 910.203126 1620.957258 2572.542952 3872.605868 5540.041659 7550.628538 10102.700560
2025-12-21 838.645729 1537.490973 2487.413492 3799.288089 5495.750681 7554.253456 10180.454379
2025-12-28 846.371663 1570.039902 2559.729243 3932.427347 5713.335705 7879.677065 10648.977227
2026-01-04 829.110042 1564.709717 2579.685712 3996.244915 5842.678519 8096.722373 10986.354372